{"id":10636,"date":"2021-08-16T05:42:16","date_gmt":"2021-08-16T05:42:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/i3tk.org\/demo2\/?p=10636"},"modified":"2021-08-16T05:42:18","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T05:42:18","slug":"new-covid-variants-would-set-us-back-a-year-experts-warn-uk-government","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/i3tk.org\/demo2\/world-news\/resources\/new-covid-variants-would-set-us-back-a-year-experts-warn-uk-government\/","title":{"rendered":"New Covid variants \u2018would set us back a year\u2019, experts warn UK government"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ministers are being pressed to reveal what contingency plans are in place to deal with a future Covid variant<\/a> that evades current vaccines, amid warnings from scientific advisers that such an outcome could set the battle against the pandemic back a year or more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recent papers produced by the government\u2019s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) have suggested that the arrival of a variant that evades vaccines is a \u201crealistic possibility\u201d. Sage backed continued work on new vaccines that reduce infection and transmission more than current jabs, the creation of more vaccine-production facilities in the UK and lab-based studies to predict evolution of variants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With the arrival of a new variant seen as one of the main dangers that could intensify the crisis once again, prominent scientific figures stressed the risks. Prof Graham Medley, a member of Sage and a leader of the government\u2019s Covid modelling group, said it was \u201cclearly something that the planners and scientists should take very seriously as it would put us back a long way\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt is not that different to the planning that needs to be done between pandemics \u2013 a new variant that was able to overcome immunity significantly would be essentially a new virus,\u201d he said. \u201cThe advantage would be that we know we can generate vaccines against this virus \u2013 and relatively quickly. The disadvantage is that we would be back to the same situation we were in a year ago, depending on how much impact current immunity had against a new variant. Hopefully, evolution is slow, so that new variants arise that are only marginally evasive rather than one big jump.\u201d Dr Marc Baguelin, from Imperial College\u2019s Covid-19 response team and a member of the government\u2019s SPI-M modelling group, said preventing the importation of variants<\/a> of concern with \u201cmoderate to high immune-escape properties would be critical, as these could lead to future waves orders of magnitude larger than the ones experienced so far\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt is unlikely that such a new virus evades entirely all immunity from past infection or vaccines,\u201d he said. \u201cSome immunity should remain at least for the most severe outcomes such as death or hospitalisation. We would most likely be able to update the current vaccines to include the emerging strain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBut doing so would take months and means that we might need to reimpose restrictions if there were a significant public health risk. The amount of restrictions would be a political decision and would need to be proportionate with how much this virus would evade current vaccines.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It comes with a further loosening of restrictions<\/a> in England on Monday when fully vaccinated people and under-18s will no longer be legally required to self-isolate if they come into close contact with someone with Covid. They will be advised, but not obliged, to take a PCR test instead. Daily Covid cases have been hovering around the 30,000 mark. The latest figures, from 13 August, showed that a further 32,700 had tested positive and another 100 deaths were reported.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, all 16- and 17-year-olds in England will be offered a first dose of vaccine over the next week to give them some protection before schools return in September. Health<\/a> secretary Sajid Javid urged older teenagers not to delay. \u201cGet your jabs as soon as you can so we can continue to safely live with this virus and enjoy our freedoms by giving yourself, your family and your community the protection they need,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Boris Johnson\u2019s former senior adviser Dominic Cummings has already called on the government to publish a \u201cvariant escape vaccine contingency plan\u201d and suggested MPs should explore ways of forcing ministers to do so. One scientist, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they would like to see the publication of the national risk assessment relating to Covid-19 contingency plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Munira Wilson, the Liberal Democrat health spokesperson, is backing the move. \u201cIt is critical that people have confidence in Boris Johnson\u2019s Covid strategy and trust him not to repeat the same mistakes of the last 18 months,\u201d she said. \u201cThrough refusing to self-isolate, breaking their own rules and making mistakes that have cost lives, the government has lost public trust. Transparency is the only way to begin winning that trust back.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stephen Reicher, professor of psychology at the University of St Andrews, said: \u201cIt very much makes sense to be prepared. Scotland is setting up its standing committee on pandemics. It will be interesting to see what emerges on a UK level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIn the longer-term we need a systematic inquiry into what went wrong (and right) so we are prepared and also so that we can institute systemic changes to protect us. The pandemic has been like a barium meal which has exposed so many deficiencies in our society. We can no longer pretend we are not aware of them. This has been a deafening wake-up call. Let\u2019s make sure we don\u2019t press the snooze button.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Government sources said Public Health England and others were monitoring the situation through rapid surveillance and genomic sequencing<\/a> of the virus. A Department of Health and Social Care spokesperson said the vaccination programme had built a \u201cwall of defence\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe are committed to protecting the progress of the vaccine rollout and our world-leading genomics capabilities are at the forefront of global efforts to stay ahead of variants, with over half a million samples genome-sequenced so far,\u201d they said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Official figures show the UK recorded 93 new Covid-related deaths and 29,520 new cases yesterday.\u201cData from Public Health England shows two doses of Covid-19 vaccines are more than 90% effective against hospitalisation from the Delta variant, the dominant strain in the UK.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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Vaccine-beating variant is \u2018realistic possibility\u2019, say scientists, amid calls for contingency plans to be revealed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9934,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[87],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-resources"],"yoast_head":"\nNew Covid variants \u2018would set us back a year\u2019, experts warn UK government - International Institute of Innovation and Technology<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/i3tk.org\/demo2\/world-news\/resources\/new-covid-variants-would-set-us-back-a-year-experts-warn-uk-government\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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